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World Cup Fantasy

Brazil Fantasy Picks: Martinelli Winner And R16 Route

29 June 2026

Brazil are through, but Japan made them sweat for it. Sano put Japan ahead, Casemiro dragged Brazil level, then Gabriel Martinelli stole it deep into stoppage time.

For fantasy, this was a reminder that Brazil still carry premium upside, but they are not a lazy Clean Sheet Shield lock. Japan scored, pushed them, and made the route feel more fragile than the pre-match numbers suggested.

Here are the Demon Notes from Brazil 2-1 Japan: Casemiro points, Martinelli bench impact, Vinicius frustration, Japan exiting with pride, and what Brazil's provisional R16 route means for the planner.

Brazil 2-1 Japan

  • Goals: Kaishu Sano for Japan; Casemiro and Gabriel Martinelli for Brazil
  • Martinelli scored the winner in the sixth minute of added time
  • Brazil had the heavier chance volume, with 16 shots to Japan's 5 in the Guardian live report
  • The pre-match top three Demon scorelines did not include 2-1, so the projection card should mark the shown scorelines as misses once the result feed is live
  • Japan are eliminated; Brazil move into R16 planning with Norway or Ivory Coast as the current possible route

Team Stats

Brazil v Japan full-time team stats
BrazilJapan
2Goals1
16Total shots5
72R32 advance %28
58R32 Shield %44
1Brazil goals conceded0

Player Stats

Key fantasy players
PlayerPosPriceOutputMatch statsFantasy verdict
CasemiroMID6.3mGoalEqualised and finished on 9 fantasy points in the refreshed dataUseful points, but not suddenly a priority R16 pick unless minutes and role stay strong
Gabriel MartinelliMID6.5mGoalLate winner and 9 fantasy points despite not being one of the main pre-match xPts namesExplosive punt if he starts, but wait for team news
Vinicius JuniorMID10.0mBlankStill Brazil's highest Demon xPts attacker before the tie, but returned only 2 points hereStill the premium Brazil route if the R16 opponent is kind
Matheus CunhaFWD7.3mBlankGood tournament body of work, but only 2 points in this matchPlayable value forward, not a lock
Alisson BeckerGK5.0m1 concededBrazil failed the clean sheet after Japan scored firstShield value drops if the opponent is Norway rather than Ivory Coast
Kaishu SanoMID4.9mGoalJapan's scorer and 9 fantasy points in the refreshed dataGreat tournament moment, but Japan are out

Demon Notes

  • Brazil advance, but this was not a clean defensive performance. That matters for anyone trying to force a Brazil Shield block.
  • Casemiro and Martinelli getting the goals makes the fantasy read awkward. The points went to players who may not be the first names people build around.
  • Vinicius blanking hurts, but it does not make him a bad pick. It just reminds us that premium attackers still need the next fixture and minutes checked.
  • Japan are done for knockout planning. Sano, Kamada, Ueda and Maeda can all be removed from R16 drafts now.
  • Brazil's R16 route is provisional. The current Demon route file shows Norway or Ivory Coast, so the real R16 xPts and Shield numbers should be refreshed when that tie is settled.

R16 Fantasy Angle

Brazil are now an R16 planning team, but the numbers should not be treated as final until the opponent is confirmed. If Brazil draw Ivory Coast, the attack and Shield case look stronger. If it is Norway, the Haaland problem makes the defensive side much less comfortable.

For now, Vinicius remains the clean premium, Cunha is still the value forward, and Martinelli becomes a team-news watchlist pick after the winner. Defensively, Alisson and Gabriel are usable but no longer automatic Shield picks after conceding here.

Brazil Japan Fantasy Notes: Martinelli, Casemiro, Vinicius And R16 Route | FPL Demon